What this is
不是猜涨跌，是报把握
- 1.99%
- 75.00%
- p = q
NOUL · YES / NO
机制，三句话
Scoring preview
评分预览
90%
P(YES) · PREVIEW
0 – 100%
0%25%50%75%100%
结算权重预览
我的校准加成
+0%
Dual accumulator
一次前向，两个答案同时打分
| 累加器 | 每次提交 | 权重函数 |
|---|---|---|
| S1 · 若答案为「是」 | S1 += stake × w1(p) | w1(p) = 10000 − (10000 − p)² / 10000 |
| S0 · 若答案为「否」 | S0 += stake × w0(p) | w0(p) = 10000 − p² / 10000 |
fire(amount, p, crew):
S1 += amount * w1(p)
S0 += amount * w0(p)
resolve():
outcome = revenue(this round) > revenue(last round) ? 1 : 0
S = outcome ? S1 : S0
claim(roundId):
w = outcome ? w1(myP) : w0(myP)
payout = pot * (myStake * w * myelinBonus) / S
myelin = (myelin * 7 + w) / 8
结算复杂度
O(1)
预言机依赖
0
管理员裁量
0
Release gates
三道闸，决定每轮放出多少
// 每轮实际放出多少：三个上限取最小，再乘上人群的校准程度// What a round actually releases: the smallest of three ceilings, times how calibrated the crowd was
cap1 = yieldPool * 40 / 10000 // 闸1 · 收益池的 0.4%// Gate 1 · 0.4% of the yield pool
cap2 = roundRevenue // 闸2 · 这一轮真实收进来的税// Gate 2 · the tax this round actually took in
pot = min(cap1, cap2)
gate = avgW <= 7500 ? 0
: (avgW - 7500) * 10000 / 2500 // 闸3 · 人群平均权重高出基准线多少// Gate 3 · how far crowd weight clears the baseline
released = pot * gate / 10000
// 没放出去的原样留在 yieldPool，不发给任何人// Whatever is not released stays in yieldPool, paid to nobody
AVGW → RELEASED
| avgW | released | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7500 | 0% | 全员报 50%，纯挂机 | Everyone says 50% — pure idling |
| 8000 | 20% | 轻微倾向且方向对 | A mild lean, in the right direction |
| 8500 | 40% | 有一定判断力 | Some genuine judgement |
| 9100 | 64% | 人群平均把握 70% 且对了 | Crowd averaged 70% and was right |
| 9900 | 96% | 人群平均把握 90% 且对了 | Crowd averaged 90% and was right |
| 1900 | 0% | 人群报 90% 但错了 | Crowd said 90% and was wrong |
My record
我的校准记录
记录值
发射后公布
权重加成
发射后公布
可领取
发射后公布
我的逐轮记录
ON-CHAIN ONLY
| 轮次 | 我的概率 | 结果 | 权重 | 质押 | 可领取 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 发射后公布 | |||||
Token & vault
代币与金库
金库余额
发射后公布
累计发放
发射后公布
参与地址数
发射后公布